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Safe Harbor Strategies in the Solar Industry (2025-2026)

  • Writer: Sanjay Bhatia
    Sanjay Bhatia
  • Oct 21
  • 5 min read

Updated: Oct 27

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As the U.S. solar market evolves under rapid policy shifts, developers, investors, and procurement teams must reevaluate how they approach tax incentives, project development, and risk management. With the introduction of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBB or HR1), and subsequent IRS and Treasury guidance, safe harbor strategies have become both more critical and more complex for solar projects in 2025 and 2026.


This blog post offers a comprehensive, client-ready guide to:

  • The current safe harbor environment post-OBBB

  • Specific strategies tailored to residential and C&I segments

  • Procurement workflows and legal deadlines

  • Frequently asked questions

  • Actionable insights from real-world developer behavior

  • Dates, size thresholds, and IRS compliance rules


What is Safe Harbor?

Safe harbor refers to the IRS criteria allowing developers to qualify for the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) or Production Tax Credit (PTC) even if the project is placed in service years later-provided it begins construction in time and follows prescribed documentation rules.


Traditional Tests:

  • 5% Safe Harbor Test: Incur 5% of total project cost before deadline

  • Physical Work Test: Begin actual work (on-site or off-site)


Post-OBBBA Changes (2025):

  • IRS Notice 2025-42 issued August 15, 2025

  • 5% safe harbor eliminated for most projects >1.5 MW unless begun before September 2, 2025

  • Only “low-output solar” ≤1.5 MW AC may still use 5% test

  • Key deadline to begin construction: July 4, 2026

  • “Continuity safe harbor” gives 4 years to place the project in service from construction start


Part I: Residential Sector Analysis

Most residential solar systems fall under the 1.5 MW threshold, offering greater flexibility in safe harbor strategy, but deadlines still matter.


✅ What Works in Residential

1. Use of 5% Safe Harbor (Still Permissible for ≤1.5 MW):

  • Projects ≤1.5 MW AC can still rely on the 5% rule if started before September 2, 2025


2. Documented Physical Work:

  • Examples: trenching, foundation drilling, racking installation

  • Evidence: timestamped photos, installer logs, utility interconnection receipts


3. Use of Compliant Equipment:

  • Favor U.S.-made modules and batteries (e.g., Tesla Powerwall, LG Chem RESU10H)

  • Look for domestic content bonus eligibility


Key Deadlines

  • 5% test eligibility: Must spend 5% by Sept 2, 2025

  • Physical work deadline: Must begin by July 4, 2026

  • Placed-in-service deadline: December 31, 2029 for most residential safe-harbored projects


Commercial & Industrial (C&I) Sector Analysis

C&I projects >1.5 MW must now rely exclusively on the physical work test. Financial strategies alone no longer suffice.


✅ What Works in C&I


1. Off-Site Physical Work:

  • Examples: transformer fabrication, inverter assembly, structural steel preassembly

  • Contracts must include: serial numbers, factory photos, production logs, shipping documents


2. On-Site Work Initiation:

  • Acceptable: trenching, piling, fencing, access roads

  • Drone footage, GPS-stamped photos, and EPC logs required


3. Documentation Strategy:

  • Create a “safe harbor folder” per project:

    • Signed contracts

    • Invoices

    • Shipping manifests

    • Factory milestone certificates


4. Legal and Tax Integration:

  • Counsel must validate that physical work meets IRS criteria

  • Continuous construction evidence required (e.g., schedule updates, site logs)


Key Deadlines

  • Physical work must begin: by July 4, 2026

  • Placed-in-service: by December 31, 2029 (up to four years from start)

  • 5% rule invalid for C&I unless committed before Sept 2, 2025


Safe Harbor FAQ

Q1: Can I still use 5% safe harbor?

Only for solar ≤1.5 MW AND only if incurred by Sept 2, 2025


Q2: What qualifies as “physical work”?

Trenching, pile driving, road grading, or fabrication of custom equipment


Q3: Can I switch equipment between projects?

Only if it maintains documented linkage and continuity (risky)


Q4: What happens if I miss July 4, 2026?

You may still qualify but must be placed in service by Dec 31, 2027 to capture ITC/PTC


Q5: How long do I have to complete the project?

Generally, 4 years from the year construction began, if you meet continuity safe harbor


Q6: What’s the size threshold for safe harbor changes?

1.5 MW AC net output is the key cutoff


Q7: Can I use foreign-made modules?

Only if they meet FEOC and domestic content restrictions



Developer Checklist for 2025–2026

  •  Verify size threshold (≤1.5 MW or >1.5 MW)

  •  Meet applicable begin-construction deadline (5% by 9/2/25, physical by 7/4/26)

  •  Track project in a safe harbor logbook or document folder

  •  Secure binding manufacturing contracts with serial numbers

  •  Use drone footage / GPS photos to document on-site work

  •  Involve legal/tax counsel to ensure audit-proof records

  •  Prioritize vendors with U.S.-based content where possible


Final Recommendations

To ensure eligibility and minimize legal/tax audit risk under OBBB’s redefined safe harbor provisions:


  • Residential Developers should document either 5% spend (by Sept 2, 2025) or minor physical work (e.g., trenching, mounting). Participate in VPP programs and leverage CCAs like CPA for monetization.


  • C&I Developers must shift to verifiable physical work strategies. Legal teams should verify vendor compliance with IRS rules and ensure milestone-tied contracts.


Prioritize projects that:

  • Are interconnection-ready

  • Use compliant equipment

  • Can be documented under the new physical work criteria


Dates At-A-Glance

Event

Date

5% Safe Harbor Deadline

Sept 2, 2025

Final Physical Work Start

July 4, 2026

Placed in Service (normal window)

Dec 31, 2029

Placed in Service (if post-July 2026)

Dec 31, 2027

Conclusion

The 2025-2026 policy window represents a pivotal moment for the solar industry. With the rollback of the 5% safe harbor for most large projects and new requirements tied to physical work, it’s critical for developers, EPCs, and investors to act with precision. Timely documentation, compliance with size thresholds, and coordination between legal, tax, and procurement teams are no longer optional, they’re essential. Safe harbor is still achievable- but only if approached with diligence and strategy.


Stay proactive, stay aligned with IRS guidance, and above all, start now.


If you would like to understand various policy changes, demand and supply for domestic vs international supply, and correct structure safe harbor strategies, reach out to us at contact@quantiedge.com or contact via QuantiEdge.com


About the Author

Sanjay Bhatia is a strategic advisor and execution partner to leading solar installers (residential and C&I), inverter and battery OEMs, and energy investors, with deep expertise across Home Energy Management Customer Facing Apps (iOS/ Android), Virtual Power Plants (VPPs), DERMS, Energy IoT, and TPO (PPA/Lease) models.


With a strong track record of working across both hardware and software domains, Sanjay has delivered results for various clients, investment analysts, and consulting firms. His projects have spanned:


  • Hardware/software integration and fleet management

  • VPP readiness and DERMS implementation

  • Go-to-market strategy for energy OEMs

  • Energy IoT data platforms and workflow automation

  • Agentic AI tools for sales-ops and customer engagement and retention


Recently, Sanjay Bhatia has focused on helping early-stage and growth-stage energy companies build strategies for custom AI agents and IoT applications-turning untapped energy data into actionable intelligence and recurring revenue.


He is available to support on a contract, part-time, or full-time basis, and always open to collaborations at the intersection of renewables, storage, GenAI, Agentic AI, energy IoT, and grid software. Reach out to Sanjay Bhatia directly at sanjay.bhatia@quantiedge.com


 
 
 
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